Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.035849 0.039015 0.042196 0.045628 0.049219 0.052859 0.056823
2025-12-14 0.030644 0.035320 0.040171 0.045556 0.051344 0.057358 0.064057
2025-12-21 0.027394 0.033234 0.039461 0.046543 0.054323 0.062563 0.071903
2025-12-28 0.023599 0.030157 0.037347 0.045715 0.055095 0.065204 0.076841
2026-01-04 0.021087 0.028261 0.036319 0.045890 0.056804 0.068734 0.082639
2026-01-11 0.019266 0.026976 0.035833 0.046540 0.058930 0.072637 0.088778
2026-01-18 0.017646 0.025781 0.035328 0.047060 0.060818 0.076205 0.094485
2026-01-25 0.015126 0.023296 0.033134 0.045461 0.060141 0.076760 0.096704
2026-02-01 0.013452 0.021737 0.031949 0.044961 0.060661 0.078616 0.100344
2026-02-08 0.012114 0.020510 0.031087 0.044778 0.061495 0.080787 0.104304
2026-02-15 0.011550 0.020262 0.031420 0.046029 0.064020 0.084917 0.110523
2026-02-22 0.010927 0.019884 0.031550 0.046999 0.066185 0.088611 0.116228
2026-03-01 0.010160 0.019278 0.031379 0.047608 0.067947 0.091883 0.121515
2026-03-08 0.009275 0.018442 0.030865 0.047751 0.069122 0.094450 0.125979
2026-03-15 0.008822 0.018203 0.031125 0.048874 0.071499 0.098455 0.132150
2026-03-22 0.007740 0.016941 0.029938 0.048072 0.071444 0.099510 0.134802
2026-03-29 0.007085 0.016283 0.029543 0.048278 0.072630 0.102047 0.139210
2026-04-05 0.006634 0.015911 0.029524 0.048960 0.074403 0.105291 0.144458
2026-04-12 0.006176 0.015492 0.029414 0.049502 0.075985 0.108295 0.149417
2026-04-19 0.005153 0.014027 0.027725 0.047857 0.074720 0.107767 0.150086
2026-04-26 0.004522 0.013178 0.026893 0.047343 0.074885 0.108980 0.152846
2026-05-03 0.004027 0.012522 0.026316 0.047155 0.075454 0.110682 0.156190
2026-05-10 0.003905 0.012562 0.026797 0.048445 0.077963 0.114811 0.162506